Tuesday, October 17, 2023

A Little Bit of Everyday Skepticism

Yesterday a student sent me an example of a weird claim to see if I could explain it. Someone on tiktok had claimed that they had seen a giant on the top of a mountain in Canada. Not long after, they died. The person claimed that they had been followed and might disappear. The tiketytokers were all aflutter over this disappearance. I did what I said I'd do, look into the report and see if there was another explanation.

Here's my report back to the student:

Alright. I'm looking into this. The mountain in Canada where this was spotted is named "Canoe Mountain." I went to Wikipedia, and it's super pretty. But look up at the peak.... Zoom in. You can see that there is something at the top of the mountain. This is looking like a candidate to me. 


Now here's a frame of the video:

The rocky ridge up front sure looks like the same as the one beneath the photo of the whole mountain, so I'm pretty confident that these are the same mountain. I don't know if the words "its a giant" appear in the original video, but if they do, well what we are seeing is ambiguous...it's certainly not obvious what it is just by glancing at it. When we are presented with something ambiguous like this (think "ghost voices" in the static between radio stations or images in random clouds) if we are given a prompt, we see what we are told to see. But anyway, look at this blurry picture of my acoustic guitar leaning up near the wall. You can see the curve of the body, you can see where the neck/fretboard meets the body, and where the sound hole is. But you can see the form of the guitar still. But the only reason you can see the guitar is because I prompted you to see it. Right? 

Actually, this is the giant from the video magnified and flipped upside down. If you saw the guitar it was because I described as a guitar and there is truly not really recognizable form to the object. I often do this when people tell me they have seen ghost faces in photos of mirrors or reflections. If you flip the image, the resemblance to a face disappears, though when you flip a photo of a person, you can still tell it's a person.
So, I think that we have established that 1) there is something there and 2) we don't know what it is. 3) Yet. 
What's at the top of Canoe Mountain, then? 


This communications tower on the peak of the mountain is almost certainly what the tiktoker saw. 
But what about his death? He does appear to have died. He died young (weird). He did not seem to have any physical ailment. But he did express that he was being followed and may have had a paranoid delusion. He hinted that he might no longer be posting. Could he have killed himself? His cause of death is not mentioned, but it's a possibility. It's not the type of thing that families are eager to publicize sometimes. I looked up the most common causes of death for young men 30- 44: accidents, heart disease, and suicide are the top three. 
My conclusion: A misidentification of a communications tower as a human form, and the sighting, absent any convincing independent evidence of him being targeted, is unrelated to his death. (Remember: the post hoc fallacy!)
I love when students send me this stuff. I always take it seriously and give the claim a fair shake. I show them the research and the reasoning that leads me to a conclusion.